Week 15 of the NFL season has a special Saturday doubleheader in store for us as we’ll see the Buffalo Bills at the Denver Broncos and the Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers. The Bills and Packers are both heading straight toward the playoffs, so wins here would position them nicely for favorable matchups going forward.
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The Bills are six-point favorites (-260 odds on the moneyline) against the Broncos (+220 odds on the moneyline) with the total set at 49.5 points. In the other game, the Packers are 8.5-point favorites (-420 odds on the moneyline) against the Panthers (+340 odds on the moneyline) while the total is set at 51.5 points.
In this article, I will identify the best value player props from both of the Saturday games. The odds in this article are from William Hill Sports – Use the promo code TS500 for a 100% first-time sign-up deposit bonus of up to $500.
Saturday Doubleheader Props
- Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) at Denver Broncos
- Drew Lock (Denver Broncos) vs. Buffalo Bills
- Aaron Jones (Green Bay Packers) vs. Carolina Panthers
- Teddy Bridgewater (Carolina Panthers) at Green Bay Packers
| Teams | Spread | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|
| BUF | -6 (-110) | -260 |
| DEN | +6 (-110) | +220 |
| Total | 49.5 Points |
Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) at Denver Broncos
Saturday, 4:30 pm | Watch: NFL Network
Empower Field at Mile High – Denver, CO
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-180)
- Over 271.5 Passing Yards (-115)
- Over 29.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Under 0.5 Interceptions (-135)
The Bills are looking like a mighty-good option in this matchup, coming in as six-point favorites – even on a short week in a tough spot on the road. Allen has been looking like an MVP candidate himself this season, throwing for 3,641 yards and 28 TDs- both good for sixth-best in the NFL. Against some of the NFL’s best pass defenses (PIT and SF), Allen has a nice 56-83 / 613/ 6 TD-1 INT stat line over the last two games.
Here’s what recent QBs have done to the Broncos in recent memory:
- 12/13: Teddy Bridgewater (CAR) 30-40, 283 yds
- 12/06: Patrick Mahomes (KC) 25-40, 318 yds, 1 TD
- 11/08: Matt Ryan (ATL) 25-35, 284 yds, 3 TD
- 11/01: Justin Herbert (LAC) 29-43, 278 yds, 3 TD
The 49.5-point total lends optimism to the fact that we’ll see some fireworks in this matchup. I’m willing to bet that Allen will have a lot to do with that at the end of the day.
Drew Lock (Denver Broncos) vs. Buffalo Bills
Saturday, 4:30 pm | Watch: NFL Network
Empower Field at Mile High – Denver, CO
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-105)
- Over 244.5 Passing Yards (-115)
- Over 21.5 Passing Completions (-115)
- Over 34.5 Passing Attempts (-125)
If we know that Allen is going to have a big game, we might as well parlay a Lock in there as well… you see what I did there?
Lock had the best game of his career last week, throwing for 280 yards and four TDs in Carolina. If we’re making bets here (which we are), I’d be willing to bet he’d have another big game. In fact, Buffalo has allowed six different QBs to pass for 300+ yards this season.
Aside from a dreadful performance in KC two weeks ago, Lock has passed for at least 248 yards in six of his last seven games.
| Teams | Spread | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|
| CAR | +8.5 (-110) | +340 |
| GB | -8.5 (-110) | -420 |
| Total | 51.5 Points |
Aaron Jones (Green Bay Packers) vs. Carolina Panthers
Saturday, 8:15 pm EST | Watch: NFL Network
Lambeau Field – Green Bay, WI
Prop Bets Watch:
First Touchdown Scorer (+550)
- Anytime Touchdown (-163)
- 2+ Touchdowns (+333)
- 3+ Touchdowns (+1400)
- Over 14.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)
- Over 64.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Moving off Rodgers on a prop bet is always rough, but I have got the brass to do just that. Let’s run the football right down Carolina’s throats… shall we?
Five different RBs ran for 80+ yards – three of them went over 100 yards – against the Panthers this season. Jones could just be the next one to do it against the Carolina defense.
Teddy Bridgewater (Carolina Panthers) at Green Bay Packers
Saturday, 8:15 pm EST | Watch: NFL Network
Lambeau Field – Green Bay, WI
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 23.5 Passing Completions (-135)
- Over 37.5 Passing Attempts (-110)
- Over 265.5 Passing Yards (+100)
- Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-150)
The numbers for Bridgewater as an underdog are nothing but staggering. In fact, the former Louisville Cardinal has covered the spread as an underdog at an unbelievable 79% rate.
I doubt that Bridgewater will light the scoreboard up on his own, but Rodgers’ success could cause him to match the number.
Let me be clear here – I don’t LOVE Teddy Biz. However, I do think he’ll be able to at least give Rodgers a run for his money.
