Week 13 of the NFL season is another opportunity for bettors to win some money in the prop betting market for running backs. Each of the three RBs in this article have some fantastic matchups, so we shouldn’t be shy about pulling the trigger on any of these players.
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In this article, I will identify the best value in the props in the Running Backs market. As always, the odds in this article come to us via Bet365 Sportsbook.
Table of contents
- Derrick Henry (Tennessee Titans) vs. Cleveland Browns
- Nick Chubb (Cleveland Browns) at Tennessee Titans
- Austin Ekeler (Los Angeles Chargers) vs. New England Patriots
Derrick Henry (Tennessee Titans) vs. Cleveland Browns
Sunday, 1:00 pm EST | Watch: CBS
Nissan Stadium – Nashville, TN
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 22.5 Rushing Attempts (-120)
- Over 101.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
- Anytime TD (-275)
It almost seems unfair to take Henry each and every week, but he really is that good. Last week against the Colts, he rushed for 178 yards and a season-high three TDs. In fact, it was the seventh time that Henry rushed for 100+ yards in 11 games this season.
Since the start of 2019, it's hard to find two better pure runners than Derrick Henry and Nick Chubb. pic.twitter.com/Nyj4DIdI37
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) December 3, 2020
Over the last three games, the Browns have allowed the fifth-most yards per rush attempt (4.7)- the most of any team over that span. It makes sense that three RBs had three of the four highest rushing totals this season against Cleveland in the month of November. Translation: this front seven appears to be wearing down.
This game does have the highest total on the Week 13 slate, giving us plenty of optimism that the offenses for both sides will be at their best.
Nick Chubb (Cleveland Browns) at Tennessee Titans
Sunday, 1:00 pm EST | Watch: CBS
Nissan Stadium – Nashville, TN
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 84.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
- Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)
- Over 1.5 Receptions (+140)
- Anytime TD (-163)
As I just mentioned in the Henry blurb, this Browns-Titans game has the highest total of any game on the Week 13 slate. This gives us plenty of optimism to pluck players out of thin air from this game. Luckily, Chubb is also one of the best RBs in the NFL from this matchup.
Chubb is one of hell of a heater, rushing for 100+ yards in three straight games- and in five of his last six. The workload should be another big one, considering Kareem Hunt has been limited of late with a thigh injury.
Surprisingly, Chubb had his best receiving day of the season last week, catching all three of his targets for 32 yards. Some might not be willing to take the over on too many of his receiving prop bets. However, the 1.5-reception mark for +140 odds is quite appealing if Hunt will really see a lot fewer snaps.
Austin Ekeler (Los Angeles Chargers) vs. New England Patriots
Sunday, 4:25 pm | Watch: CBS
SoFi Stadium – Inglewood, CA
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 5.5 Receptions (+110)
- Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
- Anytime TD (-120)
Ekeler returned to the lineup for the first time since Week 4 and made an immediate impact, notching a season-high 16 targets that were turned into 11 catches (tied a season-high) for 85 yards (a season-high). Whew.
Austin Ekeler target % by week
— PFF Fantasy & Betting (@PFF_Fantasy) December 3, 2020
🎸 Week 1- 4%
🎸 Week 2 – 13%
🎸 Week 3 – 24%
🎸 Week 12 – 29% pic.twitter.com/nZnKqD1TP2
This week against the Patriots, Ekeler will certainly be needed once again. Pats head coach Bill Belichick is one of the best in the business against rookie signal-callers, so Chargers QB Justin Herbert will certainly be looking Ekeler’s way quite a bit in this one.
I’m not too big on testing Ekeler’s rushing prop bets in this one, but it’s clear that the targets should be there for him.
