In this article, we’ll give you our top NFL betting pick for the Monday Night Football game between the Miami Dolphins and Pittsburgh Steelers. We study the betting lines, teams, and players to give you our recommended NFL betting pick to beat the New Jersey sportsbooks!
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Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers (-14) – O/U: 44
Monday, October 28, 2019 – 8:15 p.m. EST
MNF Week 8 Betting Pick: Dolphins (+14)
The winless Miami Dolphins hit the road for a primetime matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers. While this game probably won’t appeal to the masses, it’s a good time for these teams to analyze where they are organizationally and look ahead to the future. Our top betting pick is for the Dolphins to cover the 14-point spread. Let’s dive into the numbers to see why we’re heading in this direction.
MNF Week 8 Betting Lines: Dolphins at Steelers
Shockingly, we’ve seen the majority public bets and all money wagered heavily in favor of the Dolphins. After all, this same Steelers team beat an equally-bad Bengals team on Monday Night Football a few weeks ago and have a fantastic record in this scenario overall.
Dolphins Betting Form
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick really isn’t as bad of a quarterback as he’s made out to be. In fact, his receivers have gotten increasingly-better as the season has gone along and that could be a big point of emphasis in this one. The Steelers’ defense has some big names in the secondary but has only ranked around league-average in passing yards allowed per game this season.
There aren’t many gaudy stats to talk about when describing this Dolphins team. They rank near- or dead-last in almost every statistical category or advanced metric. However, we know that a desperate football is usually the most dangerous one. The Dolphins certainly don’t want to go the entire season without a win, so playing this primetime game could very well be their Super Bowl.
Steelers Betting Form
QB Mason Rudolph will be back under center for the Steelers, but it’s not like this is a huge upgrade in any regard. The offense had plenty of struggles with him at the helm and really hasn’t clicked the right way offensively at all this season.
Pittsburgh will likely lean on the run, being that Miami ranks second-worst in rushing yards allowed per game (160.8). RB James Conner will likely have a nice game with Benny Snell chipping away with some carries.
One big detriment for the Steelers could be some lingering injuries and key absences on the defensive side of the ball. There are quite a few players either banged up or just coming back from injury, mainly T.J. Watt who will be returning from an abdominal injury. Sure, he’ll be back, but how productive will he be?
MNF Week 8 Betting Pick: Dolphins (+14)
All in all, we feel like 14 points are too many points to cover for a mediocre offense. It’s amazing that the public and sharps have this amount of faith in the Dolphins, but there is certainly plenty of reason for it on Monday night. Miami may not win this game, but it will definitely be close.
