NFL Week 16 is here, and that means it’s time to start digging in on the slate early. Before some of these spreads move away from our favor, we can find value in taking them at the start of the week. In this article, I will identify my favorite NFL Week 16 Picks Against The Spread. Of course, be sure to stay tuned to the news because this is one of the craziest times in life with all of the COVID outbreaks on different teams.
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This week, there are three NFL football picks to make before the lines go up for the following games: Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons, Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots & Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs.
Let’s dive in and take a look.
Week 16 NFL Picks Against The Spread
Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons
This was the one line that stuck out above all this week, and I’m rolling with the underdog Lions in this contest. Believe it or not, Detroit has now won two of its last three games, albeit both came at home – where they will not be this weekend.
The Lions have even been putting some points on the board in these two wins, scoring 29 and 30 in those matchups. Of course, there is risk in taking a team tied for the fewest wins in the NFL at this point of the season; they could certainly tank for a much better draft pick. However, the draft class isn’t that great and Lions head coach Dan Campbell doesn’t seem like the kind of guy that is ok with losing games on purpose. Let’s also not forget, the Falcons are pretty terrible in their own right, especially at home where they are 1-5 this season.
NFL Week 16 Pick ATS: Lions ML (+205) at Caesars Sportsbook
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots
Bill Belichick knows what he’s doing against Bills QB Josh Allen, and there is no debate about that whatsoever. There was one game late last season where Allen had a huge performance against the Patriots, throwing for 320 yards and four touchdowns, but the season was over for Belichick’s bunch and the Bills’ offense was in a much better place than it is now. If you take away
I love the under on 43.5 points in this matchup, considering we have seen a lot of that in the recent games. In fact, four of those six Bills-Patriots meetings have gone under 43.5 points since Allen became the starting QB. The two misnomers barely squeaked over the number, but the temperatures are expected to be frigid once again up in Foxborough.
NFL Week 16 Pick ATS: Under 43.5 Points (-110) at PointsBet
Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs
No, I am not a thief of joy, but the weather is getting colder outside and that’ll make it a lot more difficult on these offenses. Let’s also not forget that the Chiefs had a massive COVID outbreak on their team, and players like WR Tyreek Hill and TE Travis Kelce already had to go through protocols. If they miss Sunday’s game, the 45-point total is going to look glorious for taking the under.
Of course, there is also the matter of the Steelers offense, which moves at a snail’s pace. They may be without TE Patrick Freiermuth, who suffered his second concussion of the season last week, and he was a nice safety valve for the aging Ben Roethlisberger. Expect Diontae Johnson to see a lot more targets, but that’s only good for PPR fantasy – and not scoring touchdowns, most of the time.
NFL Week 16 Pick ATS: Under 44 Points (-110) at PointsBet
