Sunday gives us yet another day of beautiful betting opportunities for baseball. Yesterday’s games went 2-1, with the only misnomer being the Chicago Cubs falling to the crosstown-rival Chicago White Sox; the Houston Astros-San Diego Padres game went over the 9-run total in the second inning while the 8.5-total miraculously stayed under in the Colorado Rockies-Los Angeles Dodgers game.
In this article, we’ll take a look at the odds and best value plays we can find from a few of today’s MLB games. All of the odds are according to DraftKings Sportsbook.
Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners
4:10 p.m. EST | Watch: ESPN+
Starting Pitchers
TEX: Mike Minor – L (0-4, 6.94 ERA/1.50 WHIP this season)
SEA: Justin Dunn – R (1-1, 7.80 ERA/1.80 WHIP this season)
Total: 9 runs | Over: -117 | Under: -105
TEX | Moneyline: -150 | Run Line -1.5: +110
SEA | Moneyline: +128 | Run Line +1.5: -132
Where’s the Money Going? (as of 10:30 a.m. EST today)
Moneyline: TEX, 52% of bets | TEX, 91% of money
Run Line: SEA, 80% of bets | N/A % of money
Total: Over, 87% of bets | Under, 66% of money
Betting Pick: Rangers Run Line -1.5 (+110)
Minor certainly hasn’t been at the top of his game this season, but today is a great day to turn it around against a young Mariners team. After all, the bullpen has been used quite a bit of late, and that should serve as a motivating factor today’s success. Minor is coming off the best season of his career in 2019, and it’s about time that he reverts back to that old form.
The Rangers have a +0.4 increase currently in their team total, which is usually a good sign of offensive success on the horizon. Not to mention, Texas is getting an overwhelming amount of sharp money today and we all know how much I love to follow that. Taking the Rangers on the moneyline would certainly be the easier route, but I feel like this is too good of a plus-money opportunity to not take advantage of.
Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics
4:10 p.m. EST | Watch: MLB Extra Innings
Starting Pitchers
LAA: Dylan Bundy – R (3-2, 2.48 ERA/0.80 WHIP this season)
OAK: Frankie Montas – R (2-2, 4.74 ERA/1.34 WHIP this season)
Total: 9 runs | Over: -105 | Under: -117
LAA | Moneyline: +115 | Run Line +1.5: -190
OAK | Moneyline: -134 | Run Line -1.5: +160
Where’s the Money Going? (as of 10:30 a.m. EST today)
Moneyline: OAK, 69% of bets | OAK, 58% of money
Run Line: N/A % of bets | N/A % of bets
Total: Under, 59% of bets | Under, 98% of money
Betting Pick: Under 9 runs (-117)
I might be the only person on the face of the Earth who actually likes watching baseball games when money is on the under. Reason being: I get off on pitching. It’s a beautiful thing to watch when two guys are going toe-to-toe in a situation to see who blinks first. Bundy already has two wins against the A’s this season, allowing only seven hits, one walk and one run over 13 2/3 innings. Montas was stellar in his season-opening performance against the Angels, allowing only one run over four innings.
Both teams have a -0.3 decrease in their respective team totals – always a good sign for the pitching. Not to mention, there are truckloads of money coming in on the total going under. The team total decreases and money coming in haven’t been reflected yet on that 9-run total, so make sure you hop on that early.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
7:00 p.m. EST | Watch: ESPN
Starting Pitchers
PHI: Zach Eflin – R (0-1, 5.14 ERA/1.50 WHIP this season)
ATL: Josh Tomlin – R (1-0, 2.35 ERA/1.04 WHIP this season)
Total: 9.5 runs | Over: -108 | Under: -113
PHI | Moneyline: -104 | Run Line -1.5: +160
ATL | Moneyline: -110 | Run Line +1.5: -195
Where’s the Money Going? (as of 10:30 a.m. EST today)
Moneyline: ATL, 61% of bets | PHI, 77% of money
Run Line: ATL, 70% of bets | PHI, 51% of money
Spread: Over, 81% of bets | Over, 99% of money
Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline – First 5 Innings (-110)
As a Phillies fans, I have absolutely had it with this bullpen. If it weren’t for that part of the team, Philly could easily be atop the NL East standings right now. However, we don’t need to worry about the bullpen in this betting scenario for the first five innings. It’s not everything, but the Phils do have -167 odds as the team to score first in this matchup. Philly is trying to avoid the sweep, so I expect this team to get off on the right foot tonight.
