You might be thinking of taking an under or two when it comes to North Carolina Tar Heels player props in the NCAA final, but there are lots of factors to consider before placing a bet.
Given that they played a grueling national semifinal with Duke, we might actually see a slightly different version on the Tar Heels when they take on a favored Kansas Jayhawks team on Monday night. Whether UNC has the same run and gun offense or if they’ll be looking to save their legs in the first half, I think these props offer good value for anyone vying for little more action on the national championship game.
With that in mind, here are my three best bets for North Carolina Tar Heels player props vs. Kansas in the NCAA final.
North Carolina Tar Heels Player Props vs. Kansas in NCAA Tournament Final
Caleb Love Prop Bet: Over 17.5 Points (-106)
If the Tar Heels win the title and Caleb Love has a big performance, he’s likely to be named the NCAA Tournament’s most outstanding player. Love has dominated throughout March Madness, averaging 20.0 points per game in the Tar Heels’ five-game march to the NCAA title game. Only in the second-round win over Baylor did Love fail to reach double-digit points, and that was because Baylor’s lineup was so guard-heavy that UNC was able to feed Armando Bacot and Brady Manek to the point that Love didn’t need to score a lot.
He shot well in the national semifinal against Duke, going 11-for-20 from the field, and he’s likely to remain the focal point of the Tar Heels’ offense in the NCAA title game. While I think there are under opportunities for North Carolina player props, this isn’t one of them.
Caleb Love Best Bet: Over 17.5 Points (-106), available on PointsBet
R.J, Davis Prop Bet: Under 4.5 Assists (-143)
Speaking of unders, here’s my best bet for a UNC player vs. Kansas.
R.J. Davis had 18 combined assists in Rounds 1 and 2 (12 vs. Marquette and six vs. Baylor), but he has just 10 total in his past three games. Against tougher defenses, specifically UCLA and Duke, the Tar Heels have reverted either creating their own shot or putting back a missed shot on a rebound.
With North Carolina likely to focus on getting the ball to either Love or inside to one of its big men, Davis isn’t likely to be in control of the offense to set up his teammates for baskets. I think the Tar Heels’ O will look much more like it did in the past three contests where Davis went under this number each time.
R.J. Davis Best Bet: Under 4.5 Assists (-143), available on PointsBet
Brady Manek Prop Bet: Over 6.5 Rebounds (-110)
Manek is likely to have to step up on the boards in the NCAA final with Bacot on the mend with an ankle injury he suffered in the waning minutes against Duke. While Bacot will play versus Kansas, how effective he will be is yet to be seen.
But even if Bacot is on the floor, Manek still grabbed eight rebounds against both UCLA and Saint Peter’s and also reached double-digits against Marquette. If the expectation is that Bacot will be at all limited in the championship game, Manek will be forced to hit the boards and cash this play with at least seven rebounds.
Brady Manek Best Bet: Over 6.5 Rebounds (-110), available on PointsBet
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