Week 11 of the NFL season gets a lid on it as the New York Giants travel to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on ESPN’s Monday Night Football. The Buccaneers have lost two straight games, but still maintain the top spot in the NFC South, while the Giants are coming off their bye week looking to make a big splash with the upset.
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In this article, I will identify my top NFL football picks from the Giants-Buccaneers MNF matchup. Let’s dive in and see what’s in store.
Monday Night Football Picks – Giants at Bucs
Giants (+11.5)
On the surface, you would look at this matchup and feel like the Buccaneers have an easy path to victory. However, Tampa Bay has lost two straight games and the list of injuries is piling up even more with the injury to DT Vita Vae, in addition to WR Antonio Brown and TE Rob Gronkowski missing some games already.
Assuming Gronkowski misses this game as well, we could continue to see the Bucs struggling to get more third-down conversions than usual.
Fun facts from the Buccaneers-Giants series: The teams have met in each of the last four seasons, splitting the matchups at two apiece and the aggregate score at 116-116. In addition, each game has been decided by three points or fewer.
Over 50 Points (-110)
Things are shaping up for a shootout tonight, with a few of the storylines and injuries having something to do with it. The Bucs have lost their last two games, so I would expect QB Tom Brady to come back strong against a Giants defense that is right around league-average against the pass.
New York does struggle against the run, so that should extend drives and set up the play-action pass. Also, QB Daniel Jones has played well in two career meetings against the Bucs, going 48-for-77 with 592 passing yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions. He also added 48 rushing yards and two touchdowns on the ground.
Mike Evans – Over 4.5 Receptions (-150) + 65.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
It’s about time to start getting Evans involved again, especially with Brown out and Gronkowski questionable. In three of the last four games, Evans has only maxed out at two receptions and four targets.
This is completely unacceptable for one of the best wide receivers in NFL history to go unlooked like this – not to mention, it’s the best quarterback in league history throwing the ball to him.
Evans has a huge history against the Giants, with three different games of at least 120 receiving yards. Back in 2019, Evans went crazy on New York for eight catches on 15 targets for 190 yards and three touchdowns.
