NFL Week 11 is finally here! Earlier in the week, we discussed which NFL Week 11 picks against the spread to exploit from the opening betting lines. However, in this article, I will identify my favorite NFL picks for Week 11 now that the lines have moved.
So, let’s dive into the games and see what we have there.
NFL Expert Picks Week 11
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
I don’t care if the Dolphins are a square play here. They will be facing an elderly quarterback that just got traded to the Jets recently. So, it’s hard to imagine a successful day from New York’s offense and makes it all the more likely that we’ll see a low-scoring affair.
If that’s the case, I like Miami to move the ball just enough to keep this out of reach from its opposition all day long. The move to Flacco indicates the Jets have thrown in the towel on their season, so I wouldn’t expect a heroic performance as we saw against the Tennessee Titans or Cincinnati Bengals.
NFL Expert Pick – Dolphins (-3)
San Francisco 49ers at Jacksonville Jaguars
While the West Coast team traveling East for the breakfast game is usually unappealing, I will make the exception for the 49ers against the Jaguars this week.
San Francisco just showed how dominant it could be by running the football right down the Los Angeles Rams’ throats on Monday Night Football. Plus, this is a brand of football that travels well, no matter how far or near.
The 49ers’ defense is also getting a little healthier each week, so that is something I look forward to in going against a rookie quarterback. The Jaguars have played well in each of their last two games against the Buffalo Bills and Indianapolis Colts, but I do not think they can keep the momentum up once again.
NFL Expert Pick – 49ers (-6)
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
The NFL is a week-to-week business that changes in unusual ways each week. So, of course, we’re going to see the Seahawks put up a great offensive performance since they were shut out in Green Bay last week.
Given how the Cardinals play more of a Cover-1 defense, going man-to-man more often than not, Seahawks WRs DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett can get separation at the line of scrimmage and break off a couple of big plays.
Also, this will likely be the first game back for Cardinals QB Kyler Murray and WR De’Andre Hopkins, so expect there to be some rust right off the bat.
NFL Expert Pick – Seahawks (+3)