In this article, we’ll provide you with our top football betting picks for Week 8 of the NFL season. This week, key matchups include the New York Giants at Detroit Lions, Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots & Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs.We study the odds, betting lines, teams, and players to give you our recommended betting picks to beat the New Jersey sportsbooks.
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New York Giants at Detroit Lions (-6.5) – O/U: 49.5
Sunday, October 27, 2019 – 1:00 p.m. EST
Betting Pick: Over 49.5
The New York Giants hit the road to face the Detroit Lions in a Week-8 showdown. We think this game has potential to be a lot of fun with action every step of the way. Because of that, our top betting pick is for the total to go over 49.5 points. Let’s look at some angles that support our theory.
Week 8 Betting Lines Analysis: Giants at Lions
Public bettors are slightly in favor of the total going over, but it’s the amount of money wagered that caught our attention. A whopping 80 percent of all money wagered is on the total going over, and we certainly love to see that. There are a few factors why, and apparently, the smart folks see the same things.
Giants Betting Form
More than half of the reason we like the total going over is this putrid Giants defense. Even in the pouring rain, with 10 days to prepare, Cardinals backup RB Chase Edmonds ran wild for 126 yards on 27 carries and added three touchdowns. While the Lions lost RB Kerryon Johnson this past week, there are a few guys on this roster that can make life difficult on the Giants.
QB Daniel Jones has come back down to Earth after a 2-0 start to his NFL career. However, he could get some of that swag back against a Lions’ defense that is allowing the third-most passing yards per game (289.7). Detroit surprisingly traded a talented safety in Quandre Diggs this week, which makes you wonder where the secondary’s heads are at. Not to mention, CB Darius Slay is banged up with an ankle injury, and certainly not happy about the Diggs trade.
RB Saquon Barkley could also get busy, as the Lions are allowing the fifth-most rushing yards per game (139.2). In general, this already wasn’t a good defense. The loss of Diggs and possibly Slay will hurt a lot.
Lions Betting Form
One of the more underrated factors to this game is the lack of experience at running back for the Lions. Because of this, we’ll likely see QB Matt Stafford throw the ball a record-number of times. And that’s good news, considering he has 8 TD-1 INT over the last four games. If Stafford is throwing the ball a ton, a few incompletions will come with that. With incompletions come clock stoppages, which are always great when betting on the over.
We mentioned the Diggs trade and an injured/disgruntled Slay. This team is an absolute mess right now, and a lot of guys have expressed concern that they might not be safe on this roster. Most of that concern is on the defensive side of the ball, so we like that for the total going over.
Week 8 Betting Pick: Over 49.5
This should be one of the most entertaining games on the entire slate. There are plenty of reason we listed above and enough storylines to fill the National Inquirer. Let’s go with the over and have some fun on Sunday afternoon!
Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills (-2.5) – O/U: 43.5
Sunday, October 27, 2019 – 1:00 p.m. EST
Betting Pick: Eagles (+2.5)
The Philadelphia Eagles will head to Orchard Park and take on the Buffalo Bills. It goes without saying that Philly needs this game to keep its season alive. Meanwhile, Buffalo is looking to tack another win onto its already-impressive 5-1 record. Our top betting pick is for the Eagles to cover the 2.5-point spread. Let’s dive into the facts to see why we’re going down this road.
Week 8 Betting Lines: Eagles at Bills
This line initially opened as a pick-em and bettors initially jumped all over the Bills. However, we’ve seen a big shift in wagers throughout the week with the Eagles getting 64 percent of all money wagered. Public bettors have slightly more money on the Bills. We’re going with the smart money here.
Eagles Betting Form
The Eagles got clobbered on national TV by the rival Cowboys last Sunday night. This is a great bounceback spot for a team that had high expectations this season. While their opponents haven’t faced a tough schedule, the Eagles have lost their last two games against some of the NFL’s best.
QB Carson Wentz has many of the top numbers against D-line pressure this season, so that’ll come in handy against this Bills team. Overall, Wentz has a respectable 13 TD-4 INT number on his stat sheet that could certainly be improved if not for some dropped passes by his receivers.
The Eagles’ defense got rid of some perceived headaches in the locker room, so team morale could be at an all-time high this season. Philly’s run-defense had been solid for most of this season before facing Minnesota and Dallas; its run-D is still allowing 89.4 yards per game on the ground, which is tied for sixth-best in the NFL. The Bills won’t ever throw for too many yards and that means their secondary won’t be exposed in this one. Look for the Eagles to shut down the run and make it difficult for their opponents to move the ball.
Bills Betting Form
The Bills are 5-1 this season but, besides the Patriots, who have they really played this season? With wins against the Jets, Giants, Bengals, Titans and Dolphins, this will certainly be one of their toughest opponents to date.
QB Josh Allen has a very shaky 7 TD-7 INT ratio this season, but it could get better against one of the worst secondaries in the league. However, in order to that, it’ll take a makeshift change to their game plan. Buffalo loves to run the ball and that’ll be incredibly difficult to do against this Philly front-seven.
The Bills’ defense is one of the best in football but it leads us back to the “who have they played?” argument. Granted, they played well against Tom Brady and the Patriots, but this will certainly be a challenge against an elusive QB in Wentz.
Week 8 Betting Pick: Eagles (+2.5)
A lot of the distractions are out of the Eagles’ locker room now, so it’s time to get down to business. Desperate football team are usually the most dangerous ones and that’s what we’ve got here. Look for this to be a tough grind-it-out type of game with Philly coming out on top.
Green Bay Packers (-3.5) at Kansas City Chiefs – O/U: 47.5
Sunday, October 27, 2019 – 8:20 p.m. EST
Betting Pick: Packers (-3.5)
The Green Bay Packers bring their 6-1 record into Arrowhead Stadium to face the 5-2 Kansas City Chiefs. This was supposed to be a matchup of two of the best quarterbacks of our generation but that’s out the window now. Because of that, our top betting pick is for the Packers to cover the 3.5-point spread. Let’s dive into the numbers to see why we’re rolling with the Cheeseheads.
Week 8 Betting Lines: Packers at Chiefs
The sharps have been hammering away on the Chiefs at +4 in hopes that their star QB would play. The line has since moved a little more in the Packers’ favor to -3.5. Even if KC did have its starting QB, we’d still like Green Bay to win this game – just maybe not at this number.
Packers Betting Form
The Packers have a massive mismatch on the O-line against the Chiefs’ D-line. Granted, KC’s defense is coming off a huge performance in Denver last Thursday night, but this isn’t Joe Flacco-led offense they’ll be facing. QB Aaron Rodgers is coming off the best game of his NFL career with six total touchdowns (5 pass, 1 rush) and perfect passer rating.
KC’s defense has been atrocious for most of the season, sans last week. Green Bay has two healthy running backs now that can run the ball down the throat of this defense. Look for RBs Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams to each be involved in this game plan.
Chiefs Betting Form
QB Matt Moore will be thrown into the fire once again. In all actuality, he wasn’t bad in the Thursday night game. However, the Packers know what’s coming this time. While Moore does have a ton of weapons and great coaching at his disposal, we know who this guy is — he’s nothing special.
The Chiefs will try and move the ball with their great wealth of depth at running back. That is certainly the way to go, as the Packers are allowing the ninth-most rushing yards per game (128.9).
As we mentioned, it’ll be incredibly difficult for the Chiefs’ front seven to stop the Packers’ potent running attack. Only three teams in the NFL are allowing most rushing yards per game. As Green Bay gets the running game going, it sets up beautiful looks for Rodgers and the passing attack.
Week 8 Betting Pick: Packers (-3.5)
With Mahomes out of the way, it’s all systems go for the Packers. Rodgers is coming off the best game of his career and Green Bay’s running game could have a field day. Go Pack Go!
