Week 13 of the NFL season is another opportunity for bettors to win some money in the prop betting market for quarterbacks. Each of the three QBs in this article all have the playoffs on their minds, so we shouldn’t be shy about pulling the trigger on any of these players.
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In this article, I will identify the best value in the prop betting markets for the QB position. As always, the odds in this article come to us via Bet365 Sportsbook.
Table of contents
- Kirk Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
- Baker Mayfield (Cleveland Browns) at Tennessee Titans
- Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Kirk Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, 1:00 pm EST | Watch: CBS
US Bank Stadium – Minneapolis, MN
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 2.5 Passing TDs (+165)
- Over 265.5 Passing Yards (-120)
Earlier this week, Vikings offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak said that RB Dalvin Cook is “just kind of beat up” right now. Yikes. I wouldn’t want to be the one to tell that to Cook, but this is a matchup that he can probably take a few carries off.
Enter Cousins, who has passed for at least 290 yards in three straight games, into the picture. Not only that, but this is a fantastic matchup against a Jaguars defense that allows the fourth-most passing yards per game (279.5).
Haters will say this Kirk Cousins' fourth-quarter comeback drive is fake pic.twitter.com/upj3culu1Y
— Nick Olson (@NickOlsonNFL) November 30, 2020
Cousins will even get top WR Adam Thielen back for this game as well. Rookie WR Justin Jefferson was big in last week’s win against the Panthers, so that deadly duo will certainly be of service to Cousins in a game the Vikings desperately need to stay in playoff contention.
Baker Mayfield (Cleveland Browns) at Tennessee Titans
Sunday, 1:00 pm EST | Watch: CBS
Nissan Stadium – Nashville, TN
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+130)
- Over 218.5 Passing Yards (-120)
- Over 18.5 Passing Completions (+100)
- Under 0.5 Interceptions (+125)
Most of us can agree that Mayfield hasn’t lived up to the hype throughout his career. After all, these No. 1 overall picks are supposed to be a lot more. However, it’s not like Cleveland is the nicest place to throw a football around the yard.
Luckily, Mayfield will be taking his talents to Nashville, where the weather is supposed to be just fine for passing the football. Not to mention, the Titans defense is allowing the fifth-most passing yards per game (268.5) this season.
Through 40 NFL starts:
— Hayden Grove (@H_Grove) November 30, 2020
Baker Mayfield: 9,660 yds – 66 TD – 42 INT – 62%
Peyton Manning: 10,312 yds – 70 TD – 52 INT – 60.5%
Tom Brady: 8,890 yds – 57 TD – 34 INT – 62%
Aaron Rodgers: 9,392 yds – 70 TD – 29 INT – 64%@JonBozeka had the idea, I just added a little. #Browns
As heard on the Taking Sides podcast this week, I outline a path to success for the Browns this week- and I’m not the only one. Vegas has installed a 54-point total on this game at the open, making it the second-highest number for a Browns contest this season; it’s also the highest total of any game on the Week 13 slate. Back in Week 4, the Browns and Cowboys had a 56.5-point total, which wound up having 87 points scored.
Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, 4:25 pm EST | Watch: FOX
Lambeau Field – Green Bay, WI
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 290.5 Passing Yards (-120)
- Over 24.5 Passing Completions (-130)
- Under 0.5 Interceptions (-190)
Rodgers didn’t need to throw a lot last week against the Bears, but he still wound up with four TDs on only 29 passing attempts. In fact, the master of the discount doublecheck has now had a completion percentage of 70% or better in each of his last four games.
Tom Brady this season (12 games):
— CBS Sports (@CBSSports) December 1, 2020
11 INT
Aaron Rodgers since 2018 (43 games):
10 INT pic.twitter.com/wceWplCvYh
This is going to be a tough matchup for the Eagles, who only have three INTs as a team this season. Frankly, it’s quite disturbing, considering they haven’t faced too many quality signal-callers throughout the year.
It is worth noting that Rodgers has passed for 300+ yards in each of his last three meetings against the Eagles with a 7 TD-1 INT ratio in those games.
