It’s yet another week of NFL player props to take advantage of, and this time we’re doing it for the wide receivers in Week 10. The WRs that I’ll be writing up today all have fantastic matchups, so this won’t be about anyone getting shut down. With only seven weeks to go in the regular season, it’s time to start getting down to business.
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In this article, I will break down the best value of WRs in the prop betting market. The odds in this article are courtesy of William Hill.
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Table of contents
- Davante Adams vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
- Keenan Allen vs. Miami Dolphins
- Robert Woods vs. Seattle Seahawks
Davante Adams vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, 1:00 pm | Watch: FOX
Lambeau Field – Green Bay, WI
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 6.5 Receptions (-120)
- Over 84.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
- Touchdown (-200)
I wrote up Aaron Rodgers in the QB section this week, so it’s only natural to have his main weapon here in the WR space. After all, no other team is as bad against the pass in the NFL as the Jaguars are. Well, maybe another team we’ll talk about later. Seattle- we’re coming for you again!
Adams has been targeted at least 10 times in all but one game this season, and in each of the last four. Not to mention, he’s got six TDs over the last three games and also has yardage totals of 173 and 196 in that span.
More NFL Props
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.@tae15adams' dominance, @Big_Mountain77's versatility + the matchup with the Jaguars.
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) November 13, 2020
Insider Inbox with @mikespofford 📬 https://t.co/M26DTVpInS
Comically, the only thing that can stop the Packers on Sunday is… well, the Packers themselves. Facing the Jaguars shouldn’t pose too much of a challenge. In Rodgers’ last eight games against teams with a winning percentage of .125 or lower over his career, he is 8-0 while winning the games by an average of 18.4 points per game.
Keenan Allen vs. Miami Dolphins
Sunday, 4:25 pm | Watch: CBS
Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens, FL
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 6.5 Receptions (+100)
- Over 73.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
- Touchdown (+138)
Allen will likely avoid a shadow situation with Dolphins CB Xavien Howard- if there is any shadowing, it’ll likely be with for teammate, WR Mike Williams.
In fact, Allen runs about 58% of his snaps from the slot, which would draw a dream matchup with Nik Needham- one of the worst CBs in the history of the NFL. Keep in mind, this is the same guy that helped allow 20 (20!!!) targets to Cooper Kupp a couple of weeks ago.
At the halfway point of the 2020 season, WR Keenan Allen is second in the NFL in targets (86) and receptions (62). Last season through eight games, Allen had 51 receptions on 80 targets: https://t.co/2pLwKe40dk
— Chris Hayre (@chrishayre) November 13, 2020
Allen is already doing just fine, no matter who the matchup is against. Aside from getting hurt early against the Saints (still went 2-29-1), Allen has received at least 10 targets in every game with rookie QB Justin Herbert under center. Even better, Allen has 28 catches over the last three games.
Robert Woods vs. Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, 4:25 pm | Watch: FOX
SoFi Stadium – Inglewood, CA
Prop Bets Watch:
- Over 5.5 Receptions (-110)
- Over 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
- Touchdown (+138)
We haven’t seen one of those YUUUUUGE Woods’ games in a while. In fact, he hasn’t eclipsed 100+ yards since Week 1 against the Cowboys. With the Rams coming off the bye, this is the perfect time to get him going. After all, the Seahawks are allowing completions of 57.1% of deep balls (third-worst in the NFL).
✅ BUY
— Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) November 10, 2020
WR, D.J. Chark, Jaguars
WR Robert Woods, Rams
❌ SELL
RB, Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys
RB, Zack Moss, Bills@RandleRant breaks down his Buy/Sell ahead of Week 10 in the NFL:https://t.co/P8VsSug5en
Woods has even eclipsed 80 yards in three of his last four contests against Seattle. Not to mention, this is a much worse defense than ever before up in the great Northwest.
Most people will undoubtedly head towards Josh Reynolds in DFS this week, but this is a nice way to differentiate yourself from the crowd.
