A London derby on Wednesday brings together the home team in Arsenal and visitors West Ham. In most years this would be a home banker but on form this season, this is a difficult match to call. Arsenal’s home-field advantage is offset by the fact that West Ham are two points and two places above their rivals from the capital in the standings. We have analyzed the salient information and now present our Premier League picks today based on the latest betting with PointsBet.
Premier League Picks – Arsenal vs West Ham
| Bet | Odds |
| Arsenal to win | +115 |
| Draw | +250 |
| West Ham to win | +220 |
We don’t believe in sitting on the fence and no pundit really likes making a draw the pick. However, in this case there are no convincing reasons for selecting either team so the prediction is a tie after 90 minutes and normal time. That result buys the Arsenal boss, Mikel Arteta, some breathing space and maintains West Ham’s league form that has taken the Hammers into a Champions League qualifying place. The road team have never qualified for Europe’s premier competition.
A manager in trouble looks for a reaction from his players. Arteta was scathing after Arsenal lost away to Everton despite taking the lead. The home team won the match on spirit and heart and Arsenal lacked those qualities and any clear pattern to their play. However, the 3-0 home win over Southampton restored some pride for the players. Even so, a huge fixture for the two teams in the mini-league for fourth place can end in stalemate and shared points.
Premier League Pick – Draw
Arsenal have scored 15 goals in eight matches at the Emirates Stadium this season. West Ham have found the net 12 times in eight roads trips during the 2021-22 campaign. There have been 40 goals in total when Arsenal play at their own ground and West Ham travel. That’s an average of exactly 2.5 goals per match so the Over/Under 2.5 Total Goals is too difficult to call for this fixture. However, at the odds going low is the value bet.
We are ignoring that market but have found something that offers better value. In matches of this nature, the first goal is crucial. The circumstances can create a cautious start to the match with teams trying to protect what they have more than committing too many players forward before the break. Therefore, we like the second half to see more goals than the first half as fatigue kicks in and there is more space for the creative players.
EPL Game Prop Pick – Second Half Highest Scoring Half at +105
Goalscorer markets are speculative because of the number of variables. Bookmakers quote odds on the first, last, and anytime scorer. The markets offer the potential for a decent return for a small stake. Manuel Lanzini converted a crucial penalty in the 3-2 win against Arsenal and spot-kicks are in fashion. The midfielder from Argentina stands out as the best bet to score at any time during this closely matched encounter and a goal from another penalty would not be a major surprise.
EPL Player Prop Pick – Manuel Lanzini to score at any time at +350
